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Lying Eyes (or is Tony Abbott an Ebola girlie man?)


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Tony Abbott is a liar. But you already knew that. He was born with the lying DNA in his genes. Both his mother and his father must have been pretty good liars themselves to create Tony.

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Lets start with the people with guns in Iraq. Apparently these people with guns in Iraq are the ‘threat’. Lets not be concerned with the people with guns in Africa or the people with guns in America. The main fear is the people with guns in Iraq. But is there really a threat?

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Tony Abbott had already started sending troops over before the paperwork was even done; thats how keen Abbott was to appear to be doing something.

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Conversely, Abbott refuses to send people to help in regards to the Ebola crisis. And thats because that is a REAL dangerous threat and Abbott refuses to engage with a real threat. Instead, he will deal with a threat that he knows will provide very little threat (if any at all), even to the people he deliberately sends into the region.

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And because he knows there is little to no threat, he is more than happy to be pictured next to war planes.

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Now compare his reaction to Ebola. Here, Abbott shows everyone what a coward he really is. Here he refuses to send people into the region as its dangerous. He had no qualms sending troops to Iraq as he knows that it is not that dangerous.

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Now before the right wing starts a flapping, let me be clear. Are their people in Iraq with guns and who are prepared to kill people? Yes. Are they a threat to us here? Not unless they have a gun with a really long barrel. Can someone in the country be inspired by these nuts in Iraq to commit a crime? You bet that can happen. But people can be inspired to commit crime watching a movie or reading a book. And the papers and media seem keen to report what ever happens to every TV. You don’t need access to the internet as the media will fall over themselves to get the latest beheading video out to you! Maybe to help in inspiring people to get themselves into the papers, who knows. There is a level of ‘see I told you’ here. Spend 10 years calling a man dangerous, the day he snaps and takes a swing at you is the day you can justify the ten years you spent calling the man dangerous.  

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Abbott knows Ebola is the much greater threat. It is such a threat, he is too scared to act in case the virus is catching. Besides. Its only a bunch of black people in Africa. Its not like it affects any Judeo Christian country right? And that is why Abbott talks about terrorism more than he talks about Ebola. One is dangerous and a real threat, and the other is a bunch of kids with guns.

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And yesterday, in parliament, Tony Abbott lied to the people he says he works for. He told any voters listening that we already have a vaccine for Ebola. An utter and total lie. Vaccine trials have started just this week in the USA. Going to be a while before you can say the vaccine is effective or not. But Abbott is not much for telling the truth. He lies about Iraq and tries to deliberately inflame as he does, and he lies about Ebola preparedness. He lies about level of threat of ISIL and he underplays the real threat of Ebola.

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Tony Abbott is not only a liar, his cowardice and his inaction on Ebola is going to endanger lives. Add this to his desire to rape and pillage future generations by doing absolutely nothing about emissions.

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Abbott is a coward. He conflates troubles into world threats and ignores real world threats and tries to down play them as mere troubles. One of Abbott’s daughters tried to warn us with a netball tale. Apparently Tony would stand on the sidelines yelling stupid comments. How is this not exactly what he is doing in regards to Ebola and Climate Change? Abbott focuses on the small stuff and runs away from the big stuff.

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A. Ghebranious      October  2014

What is 2 degrees?


What do those crazy scientists mean when they talk about a global temperature rise of 2 degrees? I’m glad you asked!

I really don’t think people understand this at all. People who deny climate change is occurring really don’t understand it. Or they do, but they are deliberately playing it down. Which would make them as evil as those who behead people, because these people are condemning billions to a nasty death and they really do not care.

In the last century, the global average temperature was 14 degrees centigrade. This included the temperature in the coldest place on earth in Antarctica at a balmy -89.4 degrees centigrade and the hottest place on the Earth (Death Valley) at 56.7 degrees centigrade.

Here is the thing. Both these temperatures, like the temperatures in more populated places are no where near that average global temperatures. Sydney for example has as average MINIMUM of 14 degrees celsius and a average maximum of 22 degrees. A 2 degree rise in global temperatures does not mean Sydney will now be 16 – 24 degrees either. A rise in global temperatures from 14 degrees to 16 degrees means something much much more dangerous than that.

2 degrees means a 15% rise in temperatures. This is because 10% of 14 is 1.4 degrees. So 2 degrees is rather huge 15%. A 3 degree rise means 20% rise in temperatures and a 6 degrees temperature rise is over 40% rise in temperatures.

Antarctica cold -89.4 degrees celsius is 104 degrees away from that global average of 14. A 15% change in temperature here due to that global 2 degrees rise means the coldest place on the planet will be 15 -18 degrees warmer than that low.

And for Death Valley, which is 42 degrees higher than the average will rise by 15% of 42, or 6 degrees.

For those who live in Sydney, minimums may be a little warmer (average minimum already at global average), but maximums will rise by 15% of 8 degrees. But for somewhere like Darwin whose average yearly temperature is currently at 33 degrees max and 30 degree minimum. So they will be looking at 15% of nearly 20 degrees (difference between global temp of 14 degrees and their averages of low 30s). Thats around 3% rise on average. So Darwin’s winter average will be what Darwin’s summer average is now. And Darwin’s summer will move from the low 30’s to the high 30’s

A 2 degrees rise in global temperature is a 15-20% rise in temperatures. Thats why its a problem. Humans are big enough and smart enough to be able to change the temperature in a room. They can wear a jumper if too cool or turn on air conditioning if too hot. Other life does not have this luxury. A 2 degree change for city dwellers means a 15-20 degree change for a polar bear. Or a 15-20 degree change in the temperature of water. Antarctic krill for example moult (shed their exoskeleton over a 9 – 28 day period when the temperature is just right for them to do so. Those poor buggers are gonna have to change their plans now. And since krill forms the food of about all sea life, there is going to be a lot of upset fish. And the effect on the economy in regards to fish and chip shops would be devastating. Andrew Bolt may not care about temperatures rising, but threaten his Friday Fish meal and he may start to see the light.

When you tell people the temperature will rise by 2 degrees, they look at you with a glazed let me get some suntan lotion look. They don’t get what that means. But you tell them that the temperatures will change by 20%, them maybe, just maybe, they start to see the danger zone.

A. Ghebranious September 2014

Revolution Number 9


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99.999%. That’s the probability given to man made climate change by the CSIRO. By the way, Don Bradman could only manage 99.99%.
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99999csiro

So what you say. The coalition believe in that science stuff too. They have a plan! Really? And what was that plan again? Well one part was about paying polluters to do what they should have been doing without being paid. The other part involved this green army. This is not to be confused with operation sovereign borders, or operation where is Indonesia again?, or operation bring them home, or operation keep them over there, or operation border force, or operation border farce, or operation police at airports, or even operation airports at police.
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The job of the green army was to plant trees! In fact Tony Jones asked Joe Hockey about this in 2011 (click to expand).
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joemoree
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Ahh! West of Moree. That would be the Simpson desert right? You got to love Joe. Good old cigar huffing Joe.
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So while Joe struggles with where west of Moree or east of Perth he will place the green army (not to be confused with those other armies); they have a slight technical problem. It seems they may have over estimated the amount of carbon they can deal with using carbon soil technologies. If you read the Australian, this is only a recent scientific discovery.
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Or you may be a watcher of the ABC where it was pretty well understood three years earlier in 2011.
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Back then Greg Hunt was questioned about his figures. He had claimed that his direct action plan would require 100 square kms of land. Turns out he the scientists reckoned he would need 500 square kilometers. Something to do with the soil not holding the carbon and microbes. Anyway, Hunt fobbed it off. Just like he fobbed off the reports that it would be unwise to go ahead with dredging at Abbott point. Nonsense said Greg! However,  the mining company themselves then rejected the dredging plan. Take that in. Greg Hunt, the so called environment minister, did not – the mining company did. He does not deserve a cent of taxpayer money as salary.
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With Joe Hockey’s sense of geography and Greg Hunt’s understanding of science, this country, which used to be pretty, is now pretty fucked up.
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A. Ghebranious, September 2014

There’s a hole Dear Liza, Liza a hole



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The coalition argument that people will have their super money in their pocket is false.
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Money that goes into your superannuation account is taxed at a different rate than your wages are. Super has a concessionary tax rate of 15% on the the contribution. Instead, it will now be subjected to your marginal tax rate at more like 30% for the average wage.
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So for every $1000 that would have gone into your super as $850 after tax is now $700 in your pocket. More if your marginal rate is closer to 50%. The coalition now say the decision is yours. If you wish to contribute to your super yourself, you can.
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So lets do that. We now take the $700 (the amount that we have in our pocket now) and put it into super. As we do, we pay 15% contribution tax. $700 then becomes a contribution of $595. A loss to the worker of $255 from that $850 that would have gone in at the 15% tax rate rather than taxed as a wage.
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When the coalition say this is great news for workers, they are trying to spin you round like a record.
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[Correction. I have been advised that after tax super contributions are not taxed 15% (up to allowed limits). So the $700 would be fully added into super. But it is still $150 less than if contributed before tax. I also do not mention the $500 govt contribution to low income workers who will lose this from 2017 for the rest of their working life.]


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A Ghebranious August 2014

Add it up


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Einstein is reported to have said the greatest invention of man is compound interest. Einstein was my kind of comedian. But I think the point he is making is he is amazed at how all the little things add up.
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Take this budget from the coalition. Its full of nasty little surprises. Its full of things that Abbott swore on a stack of bibles to never do, but not even raising a sweat as he did. But what happens when you add all these little nasty things. What do you get when you combine the coalitions attack on super, their attack on education, on heath, on pensions, and on young job seekers?
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Well firstly it will mean a child being born into a health system where if their parents can afford it, get a bigger percentage of survival than one on the user pays govt system. The PPL will be in place. So expect businesses that are involved to be passing on the costs to their consumers (thats us). But it also means that for families with a working mother will get 6 months off work. So its good that there will be time for the mother and child to bond. But I doubt she will have any as she will be spending most of the 6 months trying to find a good childcare centre for when she returns to work.
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No doubt she will have the luxury of travelling on the roads of the 21st century along with the increased traffic of large trucks as she navigates one child care centre to another. She may also want to scout schools for the newborn. She can scout them on the now over clogged with traffic excuse for a broadband system, or she can get back into that car she usually doesn’t drive much. The latter is probably faster, despite the lorries.
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Schooling for the child will be based on a needs basis. If you need education, you better have the basis to pay for it. It will be a lottery. But if your child manages to get to the end of high school with out much scathing, here is where the fun really starts.
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Under the earn or learn option, children who study will be laid with a debt as will those with a trade. Now this is in and of it self fine if you can complete your education and find a place in the workforce. But if training or learning is not for you, then you got to get earning as you are on your own for 6 months.
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Now if you are lucky enough to have been born into a family that can pay off your student loan and thereby reduce your debt to zero, lucky you. If you cant, your debt starts accruing while you salary rate does not for a while. Now that maybe okay for some to set aside a few years to pay it off, but life happens and you may soon find yourself looking for a place with a partner and a kid of your own on the way. More debt on debt.
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Doctor visits are copaymented. More and more co payments applied on services you thought you had already paid for with your taxes. For low income workers, its poverty city. Tax on super will exceed tax on wages. Fees on super will see what little you accrue be subject to unscrupulous financial planners. Longer gaps between visits to the doctor will lead to a detriment to over all life expectancy. On the other end, high income earners get a tax break. 0% tax. A reward for earning a lot of money.
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And there is the problem when you reward a person for earning a lot of money. It means you are left with a lot of people that dont.
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A.Ghebranious August 2014

Asylum Seeker Trade Agreements


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Forget Andrew Robb’s race to lock us into Free Trade Agreements! Keep your eye on Scott Morrison’s Asylum seeker Trade Agreements. Now we just don’t pay off countries who act as off shore repositories for asylum seekers;  we are now doing trade deals from countries to take back refugees. Including the countries they are running from. A gun boat or two here. A discount on Uranium there maybe? Who knows. It’s not like we are told details of the Free Trade Agreements, so why would they tell us?
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And lets be serious people. Other countries know how much we don’t want Asylum Seekers here, so you can bet they will set the price accordingly. They will do the work we consider so dirty and they will benefit accordingly. Mean while, 157 Asylum Seekers are being moved to mainland Australia. And there is a reason for this. One the coalition are not wanting to mention. Detention centres on Nauru and Manus and even Christmas Island are for people who entered Australian waters without a visa by boat.
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But these 157 human beings did not enter Australian waters without a visa by boat. They were escorted INTO Australian waters by the Australian govt. These people can not be told you can never reside in Australia, as they do not meet the criteria imposed on other humans deemed ‘illegals’. And according to Morrison, the entire processing of these individuals will not be conducted by the Australian govt and their officials, but the Indian government and their officials.
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Do you get what that means Australia? No? We are now running an off shore detention centre for India in Australia! All because we refuse to consider doing processing onshore ourselves. We are now playing the role of PNG does on Manus for the Indian government.
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Now THAT is what I call a swapsies.
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A. Ghebranious July 2014

A Hair Width


Hair’s width. That’s supposed to be the distance between a Foreign Minister and their Prime Minister. But there seems to be glitches in the Matrix.
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Tony Abbott FINALLY got that phone call from Vladimir Putin. The one he said he had not been pushing for. But at 3am it happened. Not that anyone in Australia was told straight away. But they WERE told in Russia.

abbottputintalk

 

http://news.kremlin.ru/news/46259

Mean while, Julie Bishop arrives in New York. While she confirmed a phone call was made, she went on to make a number of statements that seemed to have already been worked out according to the Russian press release.

Now I know what you are thinking. So am I. It’s the Russians. If Rambo can’t trust them, why should I? Well, as it turns out, Abbott has finally mentioned the phone call. He was clearly saving it to announce on radio. Apparently, Putin said all the right things. Yet Bishop acted like Putin had not said a thing at all. Maybe this was a deliberate brilliant diplomatic strategy. But there is a teeny weeny little problem. And you have to pardon the translation I put up as its a computer translation of Russian to English. Which means you get Renglish.

 

 Both sides stressed the importance to the completion of the investigation to avoid politicized statements in connection with the tragedy.

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So you would think that a statement like “This is not a time to use bodies as hostages or pawns in a Ukrainian-Russian conflict,” which could be easily interpreted as politicised, could be a diplomatic error. Because its certainly not smart.
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Of course, if Bishop’s office was NOT informed of the outcome of the Russian conversation, then it makes sense that Bishop is playing the hardline half cocked race to lynch someone, anyone tactic of her prime minister. But imagine how THIS will go down in Russia. The PM saying Putin said the right things and he will hold him to his word, and Bishop claiming the Russians are using bodies as hostages. This AFTER Putin and Abbott agreed to not politicise the matter.
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And so we get an example of why there should be no greater distance than a hair’s width between a Prime Minister and their Foreign Minister, and a clear example of that not happening all in the same pie. The horrible thought in my mind and one I really do wish is NOT true, is the coalition are trying to use the disaster for a poll lift. They certainly did not get one in Neilson for the repeal of the Clean Energy Bills.
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So I will go with sheer incompetence. Which fits in nicely with everything else they have been involved with since they got into office.

 

undone

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A. Ghebranious July 2014

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